Dow Stock: Is DOW Underperforming the Basic Material Sector?

With a market cap of $21.7 billion, Dow Inc. (DOW) is a leading materials science company with a global footprint, offering innovative and sustainable solutions across packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and consumer markets. The company operates through three main segments: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings.
Companies worth more than $10 billion are generally labeled as “large-cap” stocks and Dow fits this criterion perfectly. With manufacturing sites in every major region, the world’s largest ethylene cracker in Freeport, TX, and a strong low-cost global feedstock position, Dow maintains a competitive edge in high-growth markets worldwide.
Shares of the Midland, Michigan-based company pulled back 46.4% from its 52-week high of $57.22. Shares of DOW have declined 17.9% over the past three months, lagging behind the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund's (XLB) 3.4% rise over the same time frame.

Longer term, DOW stock is down 23.5% on a YTD basis, underperforming XLB’s 5.7% gain. In addition, shares of the global materials science industry specialist have dipped 45.2% over the past 52 weeks, compared to XLB’s marginal drop over the same time frame.
The stock has been trading below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages since last year.

Shares of Dow rose 2.6% on Apr. 24 after the company reported Q1 2025 results, with adjusted EPS of $0.02 topping analysts’ forecast. Revenue came in at $10.4 billion, slightly beating estimates despite declining 3.1% year-over-year. Investors reacted positively to the company’s proactive cost-saving measures and $6 billion in total cash support, along with the strategic delay of the Alberta Path2Zero project to align spending with market conditions.
Additionally, the $8 million EBIT gain in Performance Materials & Coatings and the sale of the adhesives business to Arkema boosted confidence in asset optimization.
In comparison, shares of rival Celanese Corporation (CE) have declined 59.1% over the past 52 weeks, an even steeper loss than DOW’s. However, on a YTD basis, Celanese stock has fallen 14.2%, marking a less severe drop than DOW’s performance.
Due to the stock’s weak performance, analysts are cautious about its prospects. The stock has a consensus rating of “Hold” from the 18 analysts covering the stock, and as of writing, DOW is trading below the mean price target of $36.23.
On the date of publication, Sohini Mondal did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.